Brussels aims to boost its geopolitical presence and counter Russian influence three years into the Ukraine conflict.
Brussels has unveiled a new strategy for the Black Sea region, over three years after the onset of Russia’s military actions in Ukraine.
This initiative aims to enhance the European Union's (EU) presence and influence in an area considered critical for security, connectivity, and investment, serving as a natural conduit between Eastern Europe, the Southern Caucasus, and Central Asia.
On May 28, the European Commission outlined a framework designed to consolidate EU geopolitical influence by fostering cooperation with six countries in the Black Sea area: Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey.
The strategy is structured around three main pillars, which include regional security, connectivity, and preparedness and resilience.
The first pillar focuses on regional security.
High Representative Kaja Kallas emphasized that the burden of security cannot lie solely with individual member states.
To address this, the EU intends to establish a Maritime Security Hub.
This hub will function as an early warning system, enhancing situational awareness and protecting critical infrastructures from hybrid threats, including disinformation and electoral interference attributed to foreign actors, particularly Russia.
The hub's operational model and location will be determined at a later date, and it is expected to collaborate with NATO, as well as monitor peace agreements between Russia and Ukraine.
The second pillar of the strategy is connectivity.
According to Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos, the Black Sea region is essential for facilitating trade, energy flows, and food exports.
The EU aims to diversify economic ties with regional partners as a strategy to reduce dependence on Russian energy supplies.
Plans include developing new energy corridors and transport networks that link the region with the Baltic and Mediterranean basins, as well as the Caspian Sea.
Projections indicate that Kyiv and Chișinău could fully disconnect from Russian energy sources by the end of 2027, while enhanced cooperation in the energy sector with Armenia and Azerbaijan is also being sought.
The strategy’s final pillar addresses preparedness and resilience, with an emphasis on tackling climate change and the environmental ramifications of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
Special attention will be devoted to coastal communities, focusing on the blue economy and sustainable growth opportunities in the region.
Despite ambitious plans, EU leaders have made it clear that this strategy will not require new financial resources.
Instead, funding will be drawn from existing EU budgets and initiatives, such as the Ukraine facility and growth plans agreement with Armenia and Moldova.
The European Commission's Commissioner for International Partnerships, Jozef Síkela, underscored the importance of efficiently stimulating growth in partner nations and enhancing the effectiveness of development aid.
The strategy aims to mobilize up to 10 billion euros in additional investments without increasing the overall EU budget.
This will necessitate revising investment rules in third countries and reducing risk coverage by the European Investment Bank (EIB), alongside streamlining operations.
Negotiations pertaining to the new multiannual financial framework are anticipated to commence in the autumn, marking a critical period for the strategy’s funding and the establishment of its operational framework.