Global Wildfires Propel CO2 Levels to Unprecedented Heights in 2024
Unrelenting wildfires, fossil fuel emissions, and El Niño combine to set a new benchmark in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, amid international climate policy challenges.
In 2024, the world witnessed an extraordinary surge in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels, a phenomenon largely driven by rampant wildfires around the globe, as documented by the Mauna Loa observatory in Hawaii.
The observatory recorded a staggering increase of 3.6 parts per million (ppm) in CO2 levels, pushing the atmospheric concentration to 427ppm—a significant jump from the pre-industrial level of 280ppm.
This alarming figure underscores the intensifying climate crisis sparked primarily by the extensive combustion of fossil fuels.
The Mauna Loa measurements, known as the Keeling curve, offer the longest continuous direct observations of atmospheric CO2, having commenced in 1958. The marked rise in 2024 was not solely attributable to natural factors such as the El Niño climate cycle, which introduced hotter and drier conditions in tropical regions.
Rather, the escalation can also be ascribed to fires from forested areas worldwide, compounding the ongoing emissions from coal, oil, and gas combustions, which reached record levels this year.
Contributing to the heightened CO2 emissions, El Niño exacerbated the situation by inhibiting plant growth, which typically acts to sequester carbon from the atmosphere.
This compounded emission scenario led to a new record in global average temperatures in 2024, escalating the severity and frequency of climate-related extreme weather events, including heatwaves, storms, and floods affect billions globally.
This surge in temperatures pushed the global climate past the 1.5°C (2.7°F) threshold set as a target by the Paris Agreement for the first time ever—a long-term goal that is threatened when sustained for decades.
Scientists indicated that 2024’s CO2 increase was not conducive to maintaining temperatures below this threshold, projecting a slightly reduced rise in 2025 yet still far beyond the necessary levels for containing global warming to 1.5°C.
Professor Richard Betts of the UK Met Office, whose team analyzed the CO2 increments, described the findings as "obviously bad news." Yet, he stressed the importance of continuing efforts to mitigate carbon emissions, emphasizing the availability of existing solutions to reduce CO2.
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres addressed the growing climate concerns at the UN General Assembly, sharply criticizing the fossil fuel industry for capitalizing on lucrative profits while their outputs spawn global chaos.
Highlighting economic inequities, Guterres pointed to the disproportionate financial support propping up fossil fuels compared to investments in clean energy, calling for restructuring towards sustainable energy solutions.
The analysis anticipates a 2.3ppm increase in CO2 for 2025—a slight deceleration attributed to the reversing climatic influence of La Niña, which typically fosters greater vegetation growth.
However, the road to achieving net zero emissions and limiting warming to 1.5°C remains fraught with challenges, as political inertia continues to hinder impactful climate action globally.