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Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026

The Surprising Impact of Extreme Heat on Mexico's Youth

New research uncovers an unanticipated vulnerability to heat among younger populations, challenging conventional wisdom
In a counterintuitive revelation, researchers have found that extreme heat poses a significantly higher risk to younger individuals in Mexico, with 75% of heat-related deaths from 1998 to 2019 occurring among those under 35.

This new analysis, published in Science Advances, defies the widely held assumption that the elderly are the most susceptible to temperature extremes.

The study, a collaborative effort including scholars from Columbia University, utilized 'wet-bulb' temperatures to factor in both heat and humidity.

This holistic metric enabled a deeper understanding of temperature impacts across diverse climate zones within Mexico.

Surprisingly, the study highlights that the most robust demographic, physiologically speaking, is paradoxically among the most vulnerable to the adverse effects of extreme heat.

Mexico’s high percentage of young heat-related fatalities, particularly among those aged 18-35 and under five, calls into question traditional narratives around climate resilience and vulnerability.

These findings come amid rising concerns about the frequency of extreme heat events linked to climate change, suggesting that youth, often employed in labor-intensive sectors, face significant exposure to the elements.

From outdoor agriculture to indoor manufacturing in poorly ventilated conditions, young workers endure harsher conditions that exacerbate dehydration and heat stroke risks.

Co-author Jeffrey Shrader from Columbia University expressed his surprise at the findings, noting the need to comprehend why physiologically robust groups are so affected.

The research extends beyond mere occupational hazards, with social dynamics also playing a role.

Younger people engage in more vigorous activities, including sports, which may inadvertently heighten their exposure to extreme temperatures.

In stark contrast, the analysis highlights that older Mexicans, those over 50, experienced fewer heat-related deaths.

Many of these individuals, however, succumb to moderately cold conditions—a testament to the multifaceted nature of climate impacts across age groups in a country with diverse climatic zones.

Bressler, the co-lead author of the study and a PhD candidate at Columbia, projects an increase in heat-related mortality as climate change intensifies, with younger populations disproportionately bearing the brunt.

This emphasizes the importance of addressing workplace conditions and public health strategies to mitigate risks.

While globally, cold weather still claims more lives than heat, this data underscores a shifting tide.

It serves as a poignant reminder of the importance of nuanced climate policies that take into account demographic-specific vulnerabilities, particularly as the planet continues to warm.
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