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Wednesday, Jul 16, 2025

Jordan's Path to Stability: Can the Kingdom Avoid the Fate of Syria?

Despite regional instability, Jordan's strong governance, strategic alliances, and homogenous society offer hope for its future, though the challenges remain significant.
As Syria teeters on the brink of further instability after the fall of Bashar al-Assad, many are turning their focus to Jordan, fearing that the same chaos might spill over into its borders.

However, while Jordan shares a volatile neighborhood with Syria, it stands apart in several crucial ways that could protect it from the same fate.

The monarchy's ability to maintain unity, despite a large Palestinian population and various internal challenges, has been key to the country’s relative stability.

Unlike Syria, where sectarian divides have torn the country apart, Jordan’s society is largely homogenous.

This makes it far more difficult for extremist factions or rebels to gain a foothold in the country.

While Syria has faced a complex and fragmented environment, Jordan has avoided the same level of internal conflict, largely due to its cohesion and stronger sense of national unity.

Jordan’s political system, although not fully democratic, is more flexible than Syria’s authoritarian regime.

The Hashemite monarchy has been able to maintain a level of participation from opposition groups, such as the Muslim Brotherhood.

This political openness, coupled with historical reforms like the abolition of the death penalty (albeit briefly reinstated), shows Jordan’s more liberal approach compared to its neighbors, especially Syria under Assad’s iron fist.

The country’s political flexibility offers a significant advantage in maintaining domestic stability.

Jordan’s relationships with the West are another crucial element of its strength.

The United States, in particular, has forged strong ties with Jordan, viewing the kingdom as a vital ally in the region.

With several U.S. military bases on Jordanian soil and the cooperation between Jordanian intelligence services and the CIA, these strategic partnerships provide essential support for Jordan's internal security.

In contrast, Iran’s attempts to extend its influence in Jordan have largely been unsuccessful, with public sentiment in the kingdom strongly opposed to Tehran’s destabilizing role in the region.

Despite these advantages, Jordan is not without its challenges.

The country’s economy is under pressure, exacerbated by the influx of Syrian refugees, which has strained public services.

There is also rising social unrest, with a widening gap between the elite and lower-income populations.

These economic and social pressures will need to be addressed if Jordan is to maintain its stability in the years ahead.

The monarchy’s ability to navigate these challenges while leveraging its strong governance, strategic alliances, and cohesive society will determine whether Jordan can continue as a beacon of stability in the region.

The next few years will be critical.

If the Hashemite Kingdom can evolve and address its internal issues, it could avoid the path of Syria and emerge stronger.

However, failure to adapt could have dire consequences, with the potential to unravel the country’s hard-earned stability.

Jordan’s situation is one to watch closely.

The road ahead is uncertain, but for now, the kingdom’s strong foundation offers a glimmer of hope amidst the regional turmoil.

Whether it can maintain its course, or whether instability will eventually creep in, remains a question that will shape the future of the entire Middle East.
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