Focus on the BIG picture.
Monday, Jan 19, 2026

Jordan's Path to Stability: Can the Kingdom Avoid the Fate of Syria?

Despite regional instability, Jordan's strong governance, strategic alliances, and homogenous society offer hope for its future, though the challenges remain significant.
As Syria teeters on the brink of further instability after the fall of Bashar al-Assad, many are turning their focus to Jordan, fearing that the same chaos might spill over into its borders.

However, while Jordan shares a volatile neighborhood with Syria, it stands apart in several crucial ways that could protect it from the same fate.

The monarchy's ability to maintain unity, despite a large Palestinian population and various internal challenges, has been key to the country’s relative stability.

Unlike Syria, where sectarian divides have torn the country apart, Jordan’s society is largely homogenous.

This makes it far more difficult for extremist factions or rebels to gain a foothold in the country.

While Syria has faced a complex and fragmented environment, Jordan has avoided the same level of internal conflict, largely due to its cohesion and stronger sense of national unity.

Jordan’s political system, although not fully democratic, is more flexible than Syria’s authoritarian regime.

The Hashemite monarchy has been able to maintain a level of participation from opposition groups, such as the Muslim Brotherhood.

This political openness, coupled with historical reforms like the abolition of the death penalty (albeit briefly reinstated), shows Jordan’s more liberal approach compared to its neighbors, especially Syria under Assad’s iron fist.

The country’s political flexibility offers a significant advantage in maintaining domestic stability.

Jordan’s relationships with the West are another crucial element of its strength.

The United States, in particular, has forged strong ties with Jordan, viewing the kingdom as a vital ally in the region.

With several U.S. military bases on Jordanian soil and the cooperation between Jordanian intelligence services and the CIA, these strategic partnerships provide essential support for Jordan's internal security.

In contrast, Iran’s attempts to extend its influence in Jordan have largely been unsuccessful, with public sentiment in the kingdom strongly opposed to Tehran’s destabilizing role in the region.

Despite these advantages, Jordan is not without its challenges.

The country’s economy is under pressure, exacerbated by the influx of Syrian refugees, which has strained public services.

There is also rising social unrest, with a widening gap between the elite and lower-income populations.

These economic and social pressures will need to be addressed if Jordan is to maintain its stability in the years ahead.

The monarchy’s ability to navigate these challenges while leveraging its strong governance, strategic alliances, and cohesive society will determine whether Jordan can continue as a beacon of stability in the region.

The next few years will be critical.

If the Hashemite Kingdom can evolve and address its internal issues, it could avoid the path of Syria and emerge stronger.

However, failure to adapt could have dire consequences, with the potential to unravel the country’s hard-earned stability.

Jordan’s situation is one to watch closely.

The road ahead is uncertain, but for now, the kingdom’s strong foundation offers a glimmer of hope amidst the regional turmoil.

Whether it can maintain its course, or whether instability will eventually creep in, remains a question that will shape the future of the entire Middle East.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Year into Second Term, Trump’s Ambitious Policy Promises Show Mixed Progress and Strategic Focus
Keir Starmer Rejects Trump’s Greenland Tariff Threat as ‘Completely Wrong’
Japan Seeks Strategic Indispensability to Trump as Model for Australia’s Regional Role
Trump to hit Europe with 10% tariffs until Greenland deal is agreed
Coinbase’s Strategic Power Play in Washington Alters Crypto Regulation Trajectory
National Guard Deployment in Washington Extended Through End of Two Thousand Twenty-Six
The graduate 'jobpocalypse': Entry-level jobs are not shrinking. They are disappearing.
Powering the Invisible Revolution: Why Energy, Engineers, and Manufacturing Are the Real AI Story
The Return of the Hands: Why the AI Age Is Rewriting the Meaning of “Real Work”
UK PM Kier Scammer Ridicules Tories With "Kamasutra"
Strategic Restraint, Credible Force, and the Discipline of Power
Florida Panthers to Be Honored at the White House for Their 2025 Stanley Cup Triumph
Trump Hosts Venezuelan Opposition Leader at White House Amid Strategic Press Briefing
Five Insights From President Trump’s Latest Reuters Oval Office Interview
Cybercrime, Inc.: When Crime Becomes an Economy. How the World Accidentally Built a Twenty-Trillion-Dollar Criminal Economy
Woman Claiming to Be Freddie Mercury’s Secret Daughter Dies at Forty-Eight After Rare Cancer Battle
White House Talks on Greenland End in Fundamental Disagreement Despite Working Group Agreement
U.S. Suspension of Immigrant Visa Processing for Citizens of Seventy-Five Countries Sparks Global Impact
Danish and Greenlandic Foreign Ministers Address Press After White House Meeting on U.S. Push for Greenland
Trump Presses Ahead with Controversial Greenland Ambitions After High-Level White House Talks
Donald Trump Organization Unveils Championship Golf Course and Luxury Resort Project in Saudi Arabia
Trump Meets Oil Industry Leaders at White House to Chart Strategy for Venezuelan Oil Revival
Greenland’s Prime Minister Asserts Loyalty to Denmark Over U.S. Ahead of White House Talks
UK Intensifies Arctic Security Engagement as Trump’s Greenland Rhetoric Fuels Allied Concern
Australia’s Ambassador to the United States to Leave Post Early After Tensions with Trump Surface
Trump Reaches Out to Elizabeth Warren in Rare Bipartisan Call
Trump to Host Venezuelan Opposition Leader María Corina Machado at the White House
Trump Aide Says King Charles Could Encounter Porta-Potties During Potential U.S. Visit Amid White House Renovations
Trump Makes Rare Roof Appearance as White House Ballroom Project Advances
Smithsonian Removes Impeachment References from Trump Portrait Display Amid Institutional Review
White House Balances Oil Strategy and Democratic Goals in Venezuela Policy Shift
Trump Designates Saudi Arabia a Major Non-NATO Ally, Elevating US–Riyadh Defense Partnership
EU Seeks ‘Farage Clause’ in Brexit Reset Talks With Britain
Germany Hit by Major Airport Strikes Disrupting European Travel
Leica Repositions Brand for Smartphone-Dominated Market
Washington Holds Back as Britain and France Signal Willingness to Deploy Troops in Postwar Ukraine
Trump Unveils Playful ‘Happy Trump’ Lapel Pin at White House Energy Talks
Russia Deploys Hypersonic Missile in Strike on Ukraine
OpenAI and SoftBank Commit One Billion Dollars to Energy and Data Centre Supplier
There is no sovereign immunity for poisoning millions with drugs.
UK Support Bolsters U.S. Seizure of Russian-Flagged Tanker Marinera in Atlantic Strike on Sanctions Evasion
The Claim That Maduro’s Capture and Trial Violate International Law Is Either Legally Illiterate—or Deliberately Deceptive
UK Confirms Support for US Seizure of Russian-Flagged Oil Tanker in North Atlantic
Nvidia Accelerates H200 Production Ahead of Planned China Sales
Elon Musk’s xAI Secures Twenty Billion Dollars in Oversized Funding Round, Doubling Its Valuation
Maduro Pleads Not Guilty in U.S. Federal Court After Dramatic Capture
Maduro’s Arrest Without The Hague Tests International Law—and Trump’s Willingness to Break It
German Intelligence Secretly Intercepted Obama’s Air Force One Communications
The U.S. State Department’s account in Persian: “President Trump is a man of action. If you didn’t know it until now, now you do—do not play games with President Trump.”
Fake Mainstream Media Double Standard: Elon Musk Versus Mamdani
×