Focus on the BIG picture.
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025

Wisconsin and Florida Voters Cast Ballots in Crucial Elections

Special elections in Wisconsin and Florida test Trump’s ongoing influence and Musk's political involvement.
On Tuesday, voters in Wisconsin and Florida participated in significant elections, considered pivotal in assessing former President Donald Trump's enduring popularity and the political influence of entrepreneur Elon Musk.

In Wisconsin, the state held a highly scrutinized race for a seat on the seven-member Supreme Court, currently dominated by a 4-3 liberal majority.

The contest featured liberal incumbent Susan Crawford facing off against conservative challenger Brad Schimel.

The ideological balance of the court is expected to have substantial implications for issues such as abortion rights, collective bargaining, and the potential redistricting of Wisconsin’s congressional districts.

Recent spending in the race has reached unprecedented levels, with over $80 million invested by both sides, making it the most expensive judicial election in American history.

Musk has contributed over $20 million through aligned groups, a move linked to Tesla’s ongoing legal challenges in the state.

Musk personally visited Wisconsin to distribute two $1 million checks to voters as part of a promotional campaign.

The contest has attracted considerable public attention, particularly due to Musk’s controversial critiques of judges who have challenged Trump’s executive actions.

Political advertising for Crawford has exceeded that for Schimel, totaling $42.1 million compared to $33.7 million for Schimel, according to data from AdImpact, a political spending analytics firm.

This spending surpasses prior election cycles, including approximately $51 million in the 2023 Supreme Court race and a mere $10 million in the 2020 race.

Democrats have mobilized in response to Musk's involvement, framing the elections as a referendum on Trump's administration and policies.

Voters expressed various sentiments regarding Musk's financial influence in the elections, including concerns about outside interference in local politics.

Meanwhile, in Florida, voters participated in special elections to fill congressional vacancies in the state’s first and sixth districts.

The most notable contest is to replace Mike Waltz, who resigned to assume a role as Trump’s national security adviser.

The Democratic candidate, Josh Weil, has raised over $10 million, while Republican Randy Fine, favored to win, has raised approximately $1 million.

Weil’s campaign highlighted perceived threats to Medicare and Social Security linked to Musk's businesses and broader Republican policies.

At polling places in Daytona Beach, a mix of pro-Trump sentiments was observable, with campaign volunteers actively engaging voters.

Public and private polling suggests a closer race than initially anticipated, making it a critical target for Democratic efforts.

The results of these elections could significantly influence the dynamics of the U.S. House, where Republicans currently hold a slim 218-213 majority, raising concerns about maintaining their legislative leverage.

Another special election in Florida aimed to fill the seat vacated by Matt Gaetz, who resigned following a failed nomination for attorney general.

Republican candidate Jimmy Patronis is expected to secure this position as well.

The outcomes of these elections in both states may indicate shifts in voter sentiment and the continued relevance of Trump’s political legacy.
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